[Photo Credit: By Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America - Kari Lake, CC BY-SA 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=104074699]

New Poll Shows Democrat Candidate Leading Kari Lake, Krysten Sinema in 2024 Senate Matchup

A new poll indicates that Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) now leads both former Arizona gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake (R) and Sen. Krysten Sinema (I-Ariz.) in a hypothetical three-way campaign for Sinema’s Arizona Senate seat.

Lake is expected to confirm her candidacy for the Arizona Senate seat later on Tuesday, while Sinema has remained largely silent about her intentions.

Gallego’s campaign commissioned a survey from the Democratic-leaning firm Public Policy Polling, which indicates that in a hypothetical three-way race, Gallego would receive 41 percent of the vote, Lake would receive 36 percent, and Sinema would receive 15 percent. 8 percent of respondents indicated they were unsure.

Gallego also leads in a number of other hypothetical three-way contests.

Between Gallego, Sinema, and the Republican candidate for Pinal County sheriff, Mark Lamb, Gallego received 40 percent of the vote, Lamb received 31 percent, Sinema received 16 percent, and 13 percent were unsure.

Between Gallego, Sinema, and former Arizona Senate candidate Blake Masters (R), Gallego received 41%, Masters received 31%, and Sinema received 17%; 11% were undecided.

Gallego sat at 48 percent, Lake at 43 percent, and 9 percent said they were indecisive in a race between Gallego and Lake alone, according to the poll.

Gallego and Lake are separated by a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points, which is just outside the poll’s margin of error.

Sinema’s favorable assessment sat at 26 percent, compared to an unfavorable rating of 52 percent. Gallego has a favorable rating of 38%, an unfavorable rating of 27%, and a “don’t know” rating of 35%, suggesting that many Arizona voters may be unfamiliar with the Democratic candidate.

The Public Policy Polling, commissioned by the Gallego campaign on October 6-7, surveyed 522 Arizona voters. Plus or minus 4.3 percentage points is the margin of error.

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