According to a brand new survey conducted by Emerson College Polling and RealClearPennsylvania, former President Trump maintains a razor-thin advantage over Vice President Harris in the critical battleground state of Pennsylvania.
In a head-to-head comparison, Trump led Harris among prospective voters by 1 point, 49 percent to 48 percent, according to the poll released on Friday.
When undecided voters were required to make a decision, the lead increased by 2 points, from 51 percent to 49 percent.
The candidates are statistically tied, as both totals were within the margin of error.
Trump and Harris were tied at 47 percent each when third-party candidates were accounted for, while independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received 3 percent.
No other third-party candidate, such as Independent Cornel West, received more than 0.3 percent, and two percent of the electorate was undecided.
The results emphasize the closeness of the race for the 19 electoral votes in the Keystone State: In 2016, the state shifted to the crimson side to assist Trump in securing the presidency.
Subsequently, it reversed course and did the same for President Biden in 2020.
The poll revealed that both candidates received approximately the same level of support from members of their own party. Approximately 91% of registered Republicans and Democrats expressed their support for the candidate of their respective party.
In the two-person election, Trump has a slight advantage among independents, with a three-point increase from 48 percent to 45 percent.
Additionally, he maintains a substantial edge among voters aged 50 to 69, with a 57% to 40% margin, and a narrow lead among voters aged 70 and older, with a 52% to 47% margin.
Harris’s advantages are derived from her support among youth voters, which has increased from 61% to 36% among those under the age of 40. Additionally, she maintains a 57% to 42% advantage among union members.
The candidates are tied among voters aged 40 to 49, with each receiving 49 percent.
The poll was conducted on August 13-14 among 1,000 likely voters. The margin of error was three percentage points.
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